Understanding basic statistics and terms used by the media to report data:
The government reported on the 1st of June 2021 that in the UK there were 5,683 new cases. This means that an individual tested positive and had the disease.
Sensitivity and specificity provide clarity in understanding the strengths of a test and how often a test generates correct results.
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Sensitivity
Covid-19 patients are identified correctly with the disease.
A/C= a
Calculate percentage: a x 100 = %
For example 90% sensitivity means that a correct positive result is given for 90% of the tests and 10% receive a false negative result
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Specificity
An individual DOES NOT have Covid-19 and will correctly receive a negative test result.
E/F=b
Calculate percentage: b x 100=%
For example 90% specificity means that 90% of tests will give a correct negative result and 10% will incorrectly receive a positive result (false positive)
Other useful statistics and term used by the media to report data:
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Disease prevalence
C/I=C x 100= %
This means that prevalence is concerned with the measure of the burden of the disease and is interpreted as the percentage of population that truly has Covid-19 at one time. In contrast:
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Disease incidence is concerned with the new cases of disease occurring during a specified time. If number of cases increases the incidence increases, and vice versa.
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Infection fatality rate (IFR) = Deaths/Cases= % (% is the number of people with SARS-CoV-2 have a fatal outcome); while the remaining % are those who recovered.
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Death rate or Case Fatality Rate = number of people who have died / population = percentage that have died of Covid-19. Example: As of May 1, 23,430 people are estimated to have died out of a total population of 8,398,748 in New York City.
23,430/8,398,748= 0.28% x 100, 000 = 279 deaths per 100,000 population.
Death rate provides information on the daily deaths attributed to Covid-19 and the impact of the disease, and as reported by the World Health Organisation the SARS-CoV-2 is fatal in about 3.4% of reported cases. However, monitoring the infection rate have proved to be difficult as people that did not display any symptoms may have not been counted accurately.
